High/Low Breakout Statistical Analysis StrategyThis Pine Script strategy is designed to assist in the statistical analysis of breakout systems on a monthly, weekly, or daily timeframe. It allows the user to select whether to open a long or short position when the price breaks above or below the respective high or low for the chosen timeframe. The user can also define the holding period for each position in terms of bars.
Core Functionality:
Breakout Logic:
The strategy triggers trades based on price crossing over (for long positions) or crossing under (for short positions) the high or low of the selected period (daily, weekly, or monthly).
Timeframe Selection:
A dropdown menu enables the user to switch between the desired timeframe (monthly, weekly, or daily).
Trade Direction:
Another dropdown allows the user to select the type of trade (long or short) depending on whether the breakout occurs at the high or low of the timeframe.
Holding Period:
Once a trade is opened, it is automatically closed after a user-defined number of bars, making it useful for analyzing how breakout signals perform over short-term periods.
This strategy is intended exclusively for research and statistical purposes rather than real-time trading, helping users to assess the behavior of breakouts over different timeframes.
Relevance of Breakout Systems:
Breakout trading systems, where trades are executed when the price moves beyond a significant price level such as the high or low of a given period, have been extensively studied in financial literature for their potential predictive power.
Momentum and Trend Following:
Breakout strategies are a form of momentum-based trading, exploiting the tendency of prices to continue moving in the direction of a strong initial movement after breaching a critical support or resistance level. According to academic research, momentum strategies, including breakouts, can produce returns above average market returns when applied consistently. For example, Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) demonstrated that stocks that performed well in the past 3-12 months continued to outperform in the subsequent months, suggesting that price continuation patterns, like breakouts, hold value .
Market Efficiency Hypothesis:
While the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) posits that markets are generally efficient, and it is difficult to outperform the market through technical strategies, some studies show that in less liquid markets or during specific times of market stress, breakout systems can capitalize on temporary inefficiencies. Taylor (2005) and other researchers have found instances where breakout systems can outperform the market under certain conditions.
Volatility and Breakouts:
Breakouts are often linked to periods of increased volatility, which can generate trading opportunities. Coval and Shumway (2001) found that periods of heightened volatility can make breakouts more significant, increasing the likelihood that price trends will follow the breakout direction. This correlation between volatility and breakout reliability makes it essential to study breakouts across different timeframes to assess their potential profitability .
In summary, this breakout strategy offers an empirical way to study price behavior around key support and resistance levels. It is useful for researchers and traders aiming to statistically evaluate the effectiveness and consistency of breakout signals across different timeframes, contributing to broader research on momentum and market behavior.
References:
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1996). Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies. Journal of Finance, 51(1), 55-84.
Taylor, S. J. (2005). Asset Price Dynamics, Volatility, and Prediction. Princeton University Press.
Coval, J. D., & Shumway, T. (2001). Expected Option Returns. Journal of Finance, 56(3), 983-1009.
Cari dalam skrip untuk "the strat"
Trend Magic with EMA, SMA, and Auto-TradingRelease Notes
Strategy Name: Trend Magic with EMA, SMA, and Auto-Trading
Purpose: This strategy is designed to capture entry and exit points in the market using the Trend Magic indicator and three moving averages (EMA45, SMA90, and SMA180). Specifically, it uses the perfect order of the moving averages and the color changes in Trend Magic to identify trend reversals and potential trading opportunities.
Uniqueness and Usefulness
Uniqueness: The strategy utilizes the Trend Magic indicator, which is based on price and volatility, along with three moving averages to assess the strength of trends. The signals are generated only when the moving averages are in perfect order, and the Trend Magic color changes, ensuring that the entry is made during established trends. This combination provides a higher degree of reliability compared to strategies that rely solely on price action or single indicators.
Usefulness: This strategy is particularly useful for traders looking to capture trends over longer periods. It is effective at reducing noise in the market, only providing signals when the moving averages align and the Trend Magic indicator confirms a trend reversal. It works well in both trending and volatile markets.
Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Condition: A perfect order (EMA45 > SMA90 > SMA180) is established, and Trend Magic changes color from red to blue.
Signal: A buy signal is generated, indicating the start of an uptrend.
Short Entry:
Condition: A perfect order (EMA45 < SMA90 < SMA180) is established, and Trend Magic changes color from blue to red.
Signal: A sell signal is generated, indicating the start of a downtrend.
Exit Conditions
Exit Strategy:
This strategy automatically enters and exits trades based on signals, but traders are encouraged to manage exits manually according to their own risk management preferences. The strategy includes stop loss and take profit settings based on risk-to-reward ratios for better risk management.
Risk Management
The strategy includes built-in risk management by using the SMA90 level at the time of entry as the stop-loss point and setting the take profit at a 1:1.5 risk-to-reward ratio. The stop-loss level is fixed at the entry point and does not move as the market progresses. Traders are advised to implement additional risk management, such as trailing stops, for added protection.
Account Size: ¥100,000
Commissions and Slippage: Assumes 94 pips for commissions and 1 pip for slippage per trade
Risk per Trade: 10% of account equity (adjust this based on personal risk tolerance)
Configurable Options
Configurable Options:
CCI Period: Set the period for the CCI used to calculate the Trend Magic indicator (default is 21).
ATR Multiplier: Set the multiplier for ATR used in the Trend Magic calculation (default is 1.0).
EMA/SMA Periods: The periods for the three moving averages (default is EMA45, SMA90, and SMA180).
Signal Display Control: An option to toggle the display of buy and sell signals on the chart.
Adequate Sample Size
To ensure the robustness and reliability of this strategy, it is recommended to backtest it with a sufficiently long period of historical data. Testing across different market conditions, including high and low volatility periods, is also advised.
Credits
Acknowledgments:
This strategy is based on the Trend Magic indicator combined with moving averages and draws on contributions from the technical analysis and trading community.
Clean Chart Description
Chart Appearance:
To maintain a clean and simple chart, this strategy includes options to turn off the display of Trend Magic, moving averages, and entry signals. Traders can adjust these display settings as needed to minimize visual clutter and focus on effective trend analysis.
Addressing the House Rule Violations
Omissions and Unrealistic Claims
Clarification:
This strategy does not make any unrealistic or unsupported claims about its performance. All signals are intended for educational purposes only and do not guarantee future results. It is important to note that past performance does not guarantee future outcomes, and proper risk management is crucial.
Larry Connors %b Strategy (Bollinger Band)Larry Connors’ %b Strategy is a mean-reversion trading approach that uses Bollinger Bands to identify buy and sell signals based on the %b indicator. This strategy was developed by Larry Connors, a renowned trader and author known for his systematic, data-driven trading methods, particularly those focusing on short-term mean reversion.
The %b indicator measures the position of the current price relative to the Bollinger Bands, which are volatility bands placed above and below a moving average. The strategy specifically targets times when prices are oversold within a long-term uptrend and aims to capture rebounds by buying at relatively low points and selling at relatively high points.
Strategy Rules
The basic rules of the %b Strategy are:
1. Trend Confirmation: The closing price must be above the 200-day moving average. This filter ensures that trades are made in alignment with a longer-term uptrend, thereby avoiding trades against the primary market trend.
2. Oversold Conditions: The %b indicator must be below 0.2 for three consecutive days. The %b value below 0.2 indicates that the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting an oversold condition.
3. Entry Signal: Enter a long position at the close when conditions 1 and 2 are met.
4. Exit Signal: Exit the position when the %b value closes above 0.8, signaling an overbought condition where the price is near the upper Bollinger Band.
How the Strategy Works
This strategy operates on the premise of mean reversion, which suggests that extreme price movements will revert to the mean over time. By entering positions when the %b value indicates an oversold condition (below 0.2) in a confirmed uptrend, the strategy attempts to capture short-term price rebounds. The exit rule (when %b is above 0.8) aims to lock in profits once the price reaches an overbought condition, often near the upper Bollinger Band.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a well-known figure in the world of financial markets and trading. He co-authored several influential trading books, including “Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work” and “High Probability ETF Trading.” Connors is recognized for his quantitative approach, focusing on systematic, rules-based strategies that leverage historical data to validate trading edges.
His work primarily revolves around short-term trading strategies, often using technical indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), Bollinger Bands, and moving averages. Connors’ methodologies have been widely adopted by traders seeking structured approaches to exploit short-term inefficiencies in the market.
Risks of the Strategy
While the %b Strategy can be effective, particularly in mean-reverting markets, it is not without risks:
1. Mean Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the assumption that prices will revert to the mean. In trending or sharply falling markets, this reversion may not occur, leading to sustained losses.
2. False Signals in Choppy Markets: In volatile or sideways markets, the strategy may generate multiple false signals, resulting in whipsaw trades that can erode capital through frequent small losses.
3. No Stop Loss: The basic implementation of the strategy does not include a stop loss, which increases the risk of holding losing trades longer than intended, especially if the market continues to move against the position.
4. Performance During Market Crashes: During major market downturns, the strategy’s buy signals could be triggered frequently as prices decline, compounding losses without the presence of a risk management mechanism.
Scientific References and Theoretical Basis
The %b Strategy relies on the concept of mean reversion, which has been extensively studied in finance literature. Studies by Avellaneda and Lee (2010) and Bouchaud et al. (2018) have demonstrated that mean-reverting strategies can be profitable in specific market environments, particularly when combined with volatility filters like Bollinger Bands. However, the same studies caution that such strategies are highly sensitive to market conditions and often perform poorly during periods of prolonged trends.
Bollinger Bands themselves were popularized by John Bollinger and are widely used to assess price volatility and detect potential overbought and oversold conditions. The %b value is a critical part of this analysis, as it standardizes the position of price relative to the bands, making it easier to compare conditions across different securities and time frames.
Conclusion
Larry Connors’ %b Strategy is a well-known mean-reversion technique that leverages Bollinger Bands to identify buying opportunities in uptrending markets when prices are temporarily oversold. While the strategy can be effective under the right conditions, traders should be aware of its limitations and risks, particularly in trending or highly volatile markets. Incorporating risk management techniques, such as stop losses, could help mitigate some of these risks, making the strategy more robust against adverse market conditions.
TRIN (Arms Index) Trading StrategyThe TRIN (Arms Index), also known as the Short-Term Trading Index, is a technical indicator designed to gauge the internal strength or weakness of the market. It compares the number of advancing and declining stocks to the advancing and declining volume (AD Volume). A TRIN value above 1.0 generally indicates bearish market conditions, while a value below 1.0 suggests bullish market sentiment.
Strategy Rules:
Entry Condition (Long Position): When the TRIN value is above 1.0, the strategy enters a long position, indicating that the market may be oversold, and a potential reversal could occur.
Exit Condition: The strategy exits the long position when the closing price is higher than the previous day’s high, signaling a potential rebound in the market.
This strategy aims to capitalize on short-term market inefficiencies by entering trades during periods of potential market weakness and exiting when signs of recovery appear.
How the TRIN Index Works:
The TRIN is calculated as follows:
TRIN=Advancing Issues / Declining IssuesAdvancing Volume / Declining Volume
TRIN=Advancing Volume / Declining VolumeAdvancing Issues / Declining Issues
A TRIN value above 1.0 indicates that the market is potentially oversold (more declining stocks with higher volume), while a value below 1.0 suggests the market may be overbought (more advancing stocks with higher volume) .
Empirical Evidence:
Market Sentiment Indicator: The TRIN has been widely used as a sentiment indicator. Research by Zweig (1997) suggests that extreme TRIN values can serve as a contrarian signal, indicating potential turning points in the market. For instance, a TRIN above 2.0 is often considered a sign of panic selling, which can precede a market bottom .
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Studies have shown that indicators like TRIN, which measure market breadth and volume, can be effective in identifying overbought and oversold conditions. According to Fama and French (1988), market sentiment indicators that consider both price and volume data can offer insights into future price movements .
Risks and Limitations:
False Signals:
One of the primary risks of using the TRIN-based strategy is the possibility of false signals. A TRIN value above 1.0 does not always guarantee a market rebound, especially in sustained bearish trends. In such cases, the strategy might enter long positions prematurely, leading to losses.
Research by Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992) found that while market indicators like TRIN can be useful, they are not foolproof and can generate multiple false positives, particularly in volatile markets .
Market Regimes:
The effectiveness of the TRIN index can vary depending on the market regime. In strongly trending markets, either bullish or bearish, the TRIN may not provide reliable reversal signals, and relying on it could result in trades that go against the prevailing trend. For instance, during strong bear markets, the TRIN may frequently remain above 1.0, leading to multiple losing trades as the market continues to decline.
Short-Term Focus:
The TRIN strategy is inherently short-term focused, aiming to capture quick market reversals. This makes it sensitive to market noise and less effective for longer-term investors. Moreover, short-term trading strategies often require more frequent adjustments and can incur higher transaction costs, which may erode profitability over time.
Liquidity and Execution Risk:
Since the TRIN strategy requires entering and exiting trades based on short-term market movements, it is vulnerable to liquidity and execution risks. In fast-moving markets, the execution of trades may be delayed, leading to slippage and potentially unfavorable entry or exit points.
Conclusion:
The TRIN (Arms Index) Trading Strategy can be an effective tool for traders looking to capitalize on short-term market inefficiencies and potential reversals. However, it is important to recognize the risks associated with this strategy, including false signals, sensitivity to market regimes, and execution risks. Traders should employ proper risk management techniques and consider combining the TRIN with other indicators to improve the robustness of the strategy.
While the TRIN provides valuable insights into market sentiment, it is not a standalone solution and should be used in conjunction with a broader trading plan that takes into account both technical and fundamental analysis.
References:
Arms, Richard W. "Volume Adjusted Moving Averages." Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 1993.
Zweig, Martin. Winning on Wall Street. Warner Books, 1997.
Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices." Journal of Political Economy, 1988.
Brock, William, Josef Lakonishok, and Blake LeBaron. "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 1992.
Averaging Down Strategy1. Averaging Down:
Definition: "Averaging Down" is a strategy in which an investor buys more shares of a declining asset, thus lowering the average purchase price. The main idea is that, by averaging down, the investor can recover faster when the price eventually rebounds.
Risk Considerations: This strategy assumes that the asset will recover in value. If the price continues to decline, however, the investor may suffer larger losses. Academic research highlights the psychological bias of loss aversion that often leads investors to engage in averaging down, despite the increased risk (Barberis & Huang, 2001).
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Definition: The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions. A reading below 30 (or in this case, 35) typically indicates an oversold condition, which might suggest a potential buying opportunity (Wilder, 1978).
Risk Considerations: RSI-based strategies can produce many false signals in range-bound or choppy markets, where prices do not exhibit strong trends. This can lead to multiple losing trades and an overall negative performance (Gencay, 1998).
3. Combination of RSI and Price Movement:
Approach: The combination of RSI for entry signals and price movement (previous day's high) for exit signals aims to capture short-term market reversals. This hybrid approach attempts to balance momentum with price confirmation.
Risk Considerations: While this combination can work well in trending markets, it may struggle in volatile or sideways markets. Additionally, a significant risk of averaging down is that the trader may continue adding to a losing position, which can exacerbate losses if the price keeps falling.
Risk Warnings:
Increased Losses Through Averaging Down:
Averaging down involves buying more of a falling asset, which can increase exposure to downside risk. Studies have shown that this approach can lead to larger losses when markets continue to decline, especially during prolonged bear markets (Statman, 2004).
A key risk is that this strategy may lead to significant capital drawdowns if the price of the asset does not recover as expected. In the worst-case scenario, this can result in a total loss of the invested capital.
False Signals with RSI:
RSI-based strategies are prone to generating false signals, particularly in markets that do not exhibit strong trends. For example, Gencay (1998) found that while RSI can be effective in certain conditions, it often fails in choppy or range-bound markets, leading to frequent stop-outs and drawdowns.
Psychological Bias:
Behavioral finance research suggests that the "Averaging Down" strategy may be influenced by loss aversion, a bias where investors prefer to avoid losses rather than achieve gains (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979). This can lead to poor decision-making, as investors continue to add to losing positions in the hope of a recovery.
Empirical Studies:
Gencay (1998): The study "The Predictability of Security Returns with Simple Technical Trading Rules" found that technical indicators like RSI can provide predictive value in certain markets, particularly in volatile environments. However, they are less reliable in markets that lack clear trends.
Barberis & Huang (2001): Their research on behavioral biases, including loss aversion, explains why investors are often tempted to average down despite the risks, as they attempt to avoid realizing losses.
Statman (2004): In "The Diversification Puzzle," Statman discusses how strategies like averaging down can increase risk exposure without necessarily improving long-term returns, especially if the underlying asset continues to perform poorly.
Conclusion:
The "Averaging Down Strategy with RSI" combines elements of technical analysis with a psychologically-driven averaging down approach. While the strategy may offer opportunities in trending or oversold markets, it carries significant risks, particularly in volatile or declining markets. Traders should be cautious when using this strategy, ensuring they manage risk effectively and avoid overexposure to a losing position.
Black-Scholes option price model & delta hedge strategyBlack-Scholes Option Pricing Model Strategy
The strategy is based on the Black-Scholes option pricing model and allows the calculation of option prices, various option metrics (the Greeks), and the creation of synthetic positions through delta hedging.
ATTENTION!
Trading derivative financial instruments involves high risks. The author of the strategy is not responsible for your financial results! The strategy is not self-sufficient for generating profit! It is created exclusively for constructing a synthetic derivative financial instrument. Also, there might be errors in the script, so use it at your own risk! I would appreciate it if you point out any mistakes in the comments! I would be even more grateful if you send the corrected code!
Application Scope
This strategy can be used for delta hedging short positions in sold options. For example, suppose you sold a call option on Bitcoin on the Deribit exchange with a strike price of $60,000 and an expiration date of September 27, 2024. Using this script, you can create a delta hedge to protect against the risk of loss in the option position if the price of Bitcoin rises.
Another example: Suppose you use staking of altcoins in your strategies, for which options are not available. By using this strategy, you can hedge the risk of a price drop (Put option). In this case, you won't lose money if the underlying asset price increases, unlike with a short futures position.
Another example: You received an airdrop, but your tokens will not be fully unlocked soon. Using this script, you can fully hedge your position and preserve their dollar value by the time the tokens are fully unlocked. And you won't fear the underlying asset price increasing, as the loss in the event of a price rise is limited to the option premium you will pay if you rebalance the portfolio.
Of course, this script can also be used for simple directional trading of momentum and mean reversion strategies!
Key Features and Input Parameters
1. Option settings:
- Style of option: "European vanilla", "Binary", "Asian geometric".
- Type of option: "Call" (bet on the rise) or "Put" (bet on the fall).
- Strike price: the option contract price.
- Expiration: the expiry date and time of the option contract.
2. Market statistic settings:
- Type of price source: open, high, low, close, hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 (using hl2, hlc3, ohlc4, hlcc4 allows smoothing the price in more volatile series).
- Risk-free return symbol: the risk-free rate for the market where the underlying asset is traded. For the cryptocurrency market, the return on the funding rate arbitrage strategy is accepted (a special function is written for its calculation based on the Premium Price).
- Volatility calculation model: realized (standard deviation over a moving period), implied (e.g., DVOL or VIX), or custom (you can specify a specific number in the field below). For the cryptocurrency market, the calculation of implied volatility is implemented based on the product of the realized volatility ratio of the considered asset and Bitcoin to the Bitcoin implied volatility index.
- User implied volatility: fixed implied volatility (used if "Custom" is selected in the "Volatility Calculation Method").
3. Display settings:
- Choose metric: what to display on the indicator scale – the price of the underlying asset, the option price, volatility, or Greeks (all are available).
- Measure: bps (basis points), percent. This parameter allows choosing the unit of measurement for the displayed metric (for all except the Greeks).
4. Trading settings:
- Hedge model: None (do not trade, default), Simple (just open a position for the full volume when the strike price is crossed), Synthetic option (creating a synthetic option based on the Black-Scholes model).
- Position side: Long, Short.
- Position size: the number of units of the underlying asset needed to create the option.
- Strategy start time: the moment in time after which the strategy will start working to create a synthetic option.
- Delta hedge interval: the interval in minutes for rebalancing the portfolio. For example, a value of 5 corresponds to rebalancing the portfolio every 5 minutes.
Post scriptum
My strategy based on the SegaRKO model. Many thanks to the author! Unfortunately, I don't have enough reputation points to include a link to the author in the description. You can find the original model via the link in the code, as well as through the search indicators on the charts by entering the name: "Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model". I have significantly improved the model: the calculation of volatility, risk-free rate and time value of the option have been reworked. The code performance has also been significantly optimized. And the most significant change is the execution, with which you can now trade using this script.
Vix Trading System (VTS)Introduction
The Vix Trading System (VTS) is an algorithm designed specifically for trading the VIX index CFD. The system combines price action and trend analysis to identify optimal entry and exit points for trades. The system is designed to maintain a single position at any given time, ensuring focused and controlled trading activity.
The VIX
The VIX, also known as the "Fear Index," is a popular measure of market volatility. It reflects the market's expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days and is often used as a gauge of investor sentiment. The VIX index is not directly tradable, but there are various financial vehicles, such as VIX futures, options, and CFDs, that allow traders to capitalise on its movements. This strategy is designed to trade the VIX index CFD, a derivative product available through brokers like Capital (used in this backtest). CFDs allow traders to speculate on the price movements of the VIX without owning the underlying asset, offering the potential for profit in both rising and falling markets. The VTS is tailored to leverage the unique characteristics of the VIX, providing traders with a structured approach to navigating the often volatile and unpredictable nature of this index.
Design
The Vix Trading System employs a balanced approach with six long strategies and one short strategy. The long strategies are designed to capitalise on price action patterns that indicate potential price increases, while the short strategy focuses on patterns where the VIX is likely to decline.
While I cannot give you the exact patterns I used to protect my IP, I can give you an example of a price pattern.
Long Entry: close > close and high < low and close >= sma200
These price patterns occur regularly to be traded but not too often to prevent overtrading. By using the price patterns to gauge price action, while using the moving averages to gauge the trend, the system is able to find entry and exit conditions for trading. This blend of price action and trend analysis ensures that the system is robust and adaptable, capable of responding to both short-term fluctuations and longer-term trends in the VIX.
How to Use It
The Vix Trading System is designed with notifications coded into all orders. Traders should set up alerts to notify them of long and short entries, as well as for take profit and stop loss orders for risk management and control. Since the strategy only holds one position at a time, traders can enter trades as soon as an alert is received. This system allows for efficient and timely execution, reducing the need for constant market monitoring.
Backtest
The backtest results for the Vix Trading System provide a valuable guide but should not be taken as a guarantee of future performance. To ensure realistic expectations, a starting capital of $200 was used, which produced a net profit of $18,000 over twelve years. The backtest included a commission of 1.05% of the order size and slippage of 3 ticks to model transaction costs. While these results are encouraging, traders should be aware that real-world trading conditions may differ, and ongoing risk management is essential.
RSI Strategy with Adjustable RSI and Stop-LossThis trading strategy uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and a Stop-Loss mechanism to make trading decisions. Here’s a breakdown of how it works:
RSI Calculation:
The RSI is calculated based on the user-defined length (rsi_length). This is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
Buy Condition:
The strategy generates a buy signal when the RSI value is below a user-defined threshold (rsi_threshold). This condition indicates that the asset might be oversold and potentially due for a rebound.
Stop-Loss Mechanism:
Upon triggering a buy signal, the strategy calculates the Stop-Loss level. The Stop-Loss level is set to a percentage below the entry price, as specified by the user (stop_loss_percent). This level is used to limit potential losses if the price moves against the trade.
Sell Condition:
A sell signal is generated when the current closing price is higher than the highest high of the previous day. This condition suggests that the price has reached a new high, and the strategy decides to exit the trade.
Plotting:
The RSI values are plotted on the chart for visual reference. A horizontal line is drawn at the RSI threshold level to help visualize the oversold condition.
Summary
Buying Strategy: When RSI is below the specified threshold, indicating potential oversold conditions.
Stop-Loss: Set based on a percentage of the entry price to limit potential losses.
Selling Strategy: When the price surpasses the highest high of the previous day, signaling a potential exit point.
This strategy aims to capture potential rebounds from oversold conditions and manage risk using a Stop-Loss mechanism. As with any trading strategy, it’s essential to test and optimize it under various market conditions to ensure its effectiveness.
Negroni Opening Range StrategyStrategy Summary:
This tool can be used to help identify breakouts from a range during a time-zone of your choosing. It plots a pre-market range, an opening range, it also includes moving average levels that can be used as confluence, as well as plotting previous day SESSION highs and lows.
There are several options on how you wish to close out the trades, all described in more detail below.
Back-testing Inputs:
You define your timezone.
You define how many trades to open on any given day.
You decide to go: long only, short only, or long & short (CAREFUL: "Long & Short" can open trades that effectively closes-out existing ones, for better AND worse!)
You define between which times the strategy will open trades.
You define when it closes any open trades (preventing overnight trades, or leaving trades open into US data times!!).
This hopefully helps make back-testing reflect YOUR trading hours.
NOTE: Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts
For ALL strategies, don’t use Renko or Heikin-Ashi charts unless you know EXACTLY the implications.
Specific to my strategy, using a renko chart can make this 85-90% profitable (I wish it was!!) Although they can be useful, renko charts don’t always capture real wicks, so the renko chart may show your trade up-only but your broker (who is not using renko!!) will have likely stopped you out on a wick somewhere along the line.
NOTE: TradingView ‘Deep backtesting’
For ALL strategies, be cynical of all backtesting (e.g. repainting issues etc) as well as ‘Deep backtesting’ results.
Specific to this strategy, the default settings here SHOULD BE OK, but unfortunately at the time of writing, we can’t see on the chart what exactly ‘deep backtesting’ is calculating. In the past I have noted a number of trades that were not closed at the end of the day, despite my ‘end of day’ trade closing being enabled, so there were big winners and losers that would not have materialized otherwise. As I say, this seems ok at these settings but just always be cynical!!
Opening Range Inputs
You define a pre-market range (example: 08:00 - 09:00).
You define an opening range (example: 09:00 - 09:30).
The strategy will give an update at the close of the opening range to let you know if the opening range has broken out the pre-market range (OR Breakout), or if it has remained inside (OR Inside). The label appears at the end of the opening range NOT at the bar that ‘broke-out’.
This is just a visual cue for you, it has no bearing on what the strategy will do.
The strategy default will trade off the pre-market range, but you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range.
Opening Trades:
Strategy goes long when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-over the ‘pre-market’ high (not the ‘opening range’ high); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Strategy goes short when the bar (CLOSE) crosses-under the ‘pre-market’ low (not the ‘opening range low); and the time is within your trading session, and you have not maxed out your number of trades for the day!
Remember, you can untick this if you prefer to trade off the opening range instead.
NOTES:
Using momentum indicators can help (RSI and MACD): especially to trade range plays in failed breakouts, when momentum shifts… but the strategy won’t do this for you!
Using an anchored vwap at the session open can also provide nice confluence, as well as take-profit levels at the upper/lower of 3x standard deviation.
CLOSING TRADES:
You have 6 take-profit (TP) options:
1) Full TP: uses ATR Multiplier - Full TP at the ATR parameters as defined in inputs.
2) Take Partial profits: ATR Multiplier - Takes partial profits based on parameters as defined in inputs (i.e close 40% of original trade at TP1, close another 40% of original trade at TP2, then the remainder at Full TP as set in option 1.).
3) Full TP: Trailing Stop - Applies a Trailing Stop at the number of points, as defined in inputs.
4) Full TP: MA cross - Takes profit when price crosses ‘Trend MA’ as defined in inputs.
5) Scalp: Points - closes at a set number of points, as defined in inputs.
6) Full TP: PMKT Multiplier - places a SL at opposite pre-market Hi/Low (we go long at a break-out of the pre-market high, 50% would place a SL at the pre-market range mid-point; 100% would place a SL at the pre-market low)'. This takes profit at the input set in option 1).
Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy [presentTrading]At the heart of this endeavor is a passion for continuous improvement in the art of trading
█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend - Strategy " is an advanced trading strategy that integrates the well-known SuperTrend indicator with a nuanced and dynamic approach to market trend analysis. Unlike conventional SuperTrend strategies that rely on static thresholds and fixed parameters, this strategy introduces multi-step take profit mechanisms that allow traders to capitalize on varying market conditions in a more controlled and systematic manner.
What sets this strategy apart is its ability to dynamically adjust to market volatility through the use of an incremental factor applied to the SuperTrend calculation. This adjustment ensures that the strategy remains responsive to both minor and major market shifts, providing a more accurate signal for entries and exits. Additionally, the integration of multi-step take profit levels offers traders the flexibility to scale out of positions, locking in profits progressively as the market moves in their favor.
BTC 6hr Long/Short Performance
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
The Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend strategy operates on the foundation of the SuperTrend indicator, but with several enhancements that make it more adaptable to varying market conditions. The key components of this strategy include the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, a dynamic normalization process, and multi-step take profit levels.
🔶 SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator
The SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator is the heart of this strategy. It is calculated by applying a series of SuperTrend calculations with varying factors, starting from a defined "Starting Factor" and incrementing by a specified "Increment Factor." The indicator length and the chosen price source (e.g., HLC3, HL2) are inputs to the oscillator.
The SuperTrend formula typically calculates an upper and lower band based on the average true range (ATR) and a multiplier (the factor). These bands determine the trend direction. In the FlexiSuperTrend strategy, the oscillator is enhanced by iteratively applying the SuperTrend calculation across different factors. The iterative process allows the strategy to capture both minor and significant trend changes.
For each iteration (indexed by `i`), the following calculations are performed:
1. ATR Calculation: The Average True Range (ATR) is calculated over the specified `indicatorLength`:
ATR_i = ATR(indicatorLength)
2. Upper and Lower Bands Calculation: The upper and lower bands are calculated using the ATR and the current factor:
Upper Band_i = hl2 + (ATR_i * Factor_i)
Lower Band_i = hl2 - (ATR_i * Factor_i)
Here, `Factor_i` starts from `startingFactor` and is incremented by `incrementFactor` in each iteration.
3. Trend Determination: The trend is determined by comparing the indicator source with the upper and lower bands:
Trend_i = 1 (uptrend) if IndicatorSource > Upper Band_i
Trend_i = 0 (downtrend) if IndicatorSource < Lower Band_i
Otherwise, the trend remains unchanged from the previous value.
4. Output Calculation: The output of each iteration is determined based on the trend:
Output_i = Lower Band_i if Trend_i = 1
Output_i = Upper Band_i if Trend_i = 0
This process is repeated for each iteration (from 0 to 19), creating a series of outputs that reflect different levels of trend sensitivity.
Local
🔶 Normalization Process
To make the oscillator values comparable across different market conditions, the deviations between the indicator source and the SuperTrend outputs are normalized. The normalization method can be one of the following:
1. Max-Min Normalization: The deviations are normalized based on the range of the deviations:
Normalized Value_i = (Deviation_i - Min Deviation) / (Max Deviation - Min Deviation)
2. Absolute Sum Normalization: The deviations are normalized based on the sum of absolute deviations:
Normalized Value_i = Deviation_i / Sum of Absolute Deviations
This normalization ensures that the oscillator values are within a consistent range, facilitating more reliable trend analysis.
For more details:
🔶 Multi-Step Take Profit Mechanism
One of the unique features of this strategy is the multi-step take profit mechanism. This allows traders to lock in profits at multiple levels as the market moves in their favor. The strategy uses three take profit levels, each defined as a percentage increase (for long trades) or decrease (for short trades) from the entry price.
1. First Take Profit Level: Calculated as a percentage increase/decrease from the entry price:
TP_Level1 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level1 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level1 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level1 / 100) for short trades
The strategy exits a portion of the position (defined by `tp_percent1`) when this level is reached.
2. Second Take Profit Level: Similar to the first level, but with a higher percentage:
TP_Level2 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level2 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level2 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level2 / 100) for short trades
The strategy exits another portion of the position (`tp_percent2`) at this level.
3. Third Take Profit Level: The final take profit level:
TP_Level3 = Entry Price * (1 + tp_level3 / 100) for long trades
TP_Level3 = Entry Price * (1 - tp_level3 / 100) for short trades
The remaining portion of the position (`tp_percent3`) is exited at this level.
This multi-step approach provides a balance between securing profits and allowing the remaining position to benefit from continued favorable market movement.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify the trade direction through the `tradeDirection` input. The options are:
1. Both: The strategy will take both long and short positions based on the entry signals.
2. Long: The strategy will only take long positions.
3. Short: The strategy will only take short positions.
This flexibility enables traders to tailor the strategy to their market outlook or current trend analysis.
█ Usage
To use the Multi-Step FlexiSuperTrend strategy, traders need to set the input parameters according to their trading style and market conditions. The strategy is designed for versatility, allowing for various market environments, including trending and ranging markets.
Traders can also adjust the multi-step take profit levels and percentages to match their risk management and profit-taking preferences. For example, in highly volatile markets, traders might set wider take profit levels with smaller percentages at each level to capture larger price movements.
The normalization method and the incremental factor can be fine-tuned to adjust the sensitivity of the SuperTrend Polyfactor Oscillator, making the strategy more responsive to minor market shifts or more focused on significant trends.
█ Default Settings
The default settings of the strategy are carefully chosen to provide a balanced approach between risk management and profit potential. Here is a breakdown of the default settings and their effects on performance:
1. Indicator Length (10): This parameter controls the lookback period for the ATR calculation. A shorter length makes the strategy more sensitive to recent price movements, potentially generating more signals. A longer length smooths out the ATR, reducing sensitivity but filtering out noise.
2. Starting Factor (0.618): This is the initial multiplier used in the SuperTrend calculation. A lower starting factor makes the SuperTrend bands closer to the price, generating more frequent trend changes. A higher starting factor places the bands further away, filtering out minor fluctuations.
3. Increment Factor (0.382): This parameter controls how much the factor increases with each iteration of the SuperTrend calculation. A smaller increment factor results in more gradual changes in sensitivity, while a larger increment factor creates a wider range of sensitivity across the iterations.
4. Normalization Method (None): The default is no normalization, meaning the raw deviations are used. Normalization methods like Max-Min or Absolute Sum can make the deviations more consistent across different market conditions, improving the reliability of the oscillator.
5. Take Profit Levels (2%, 8%, 18%): These levels define the thresholds for exiting portions of the position. Lower levels (e.g., 2%) capture smaller profits quickly, while higher levels (e.g., 18%) allow positions to run longer for more significant gains.
6. Take Profit Percentages (30%, 20%, 15%): These percentages determine how much of the position is exited at each take profit level. A higher percentage at the first level locks in more profit early, reducing exposure to market reversals. Lower percentages at higher levels allow for a portion of the position to benefit from extended trends.
Fine-tune Inputs: Gann + Laplace Smooth Volume Zone OscillatorUse this Strategy to Fine-tune inputs for the GannLSVZ0 Indicator.
Strategy allows you to fine-tune the indicator for 1 TimeFrame at a time; cross Timeframe Input fine-tuning is done manually after exporting the chart data.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame.
MEANINGFUL DESCRIPTION:
The Volume Zone oscillator breaks up volume activity into positive and negative categories. It is positive when the current closing price is greater than the prior closing price and negative when it's lower than the prior closing price. The resulting curve plots through relative percentage levels that yield a series of buy and sell signals, depending on level and indicator direction.
The Gann Laplace Smoothed Volume Zone Oscillator GannLSVZO is a refined version of the Volume Zone Oscillator, enhanced by the implementation of the upgraded Discrete Fourier Transform, the Laplace Stieltjes Transform. Its primary function is to streamline price data and diminish market noise, thus offering a clearer and more precise reflection of price trends.
By combining the Laplace with Gann Swing Entries and with Ehler's white noise histogram, users gain a comprehensive perspective on volume-related market conditions.
HOW TO USE THE INDICATOR:
The default period is 2 but can be adjusted after backtesting. (I suggest 5 VZO length and NoiceR max length 8 as-well)
The VZO points to a positive trend when it is rising above the 0% level, and a negative trend when it is falling below the 0% level. 0% level can be adjusted in setting by adjusting VzoDifference. Oscillations rising below 0% level or falling above 0% level result in a natural trend.
HOW TO USE THE STRATEGY:
Here you fine-tune the inputs until you find a combination that works well on all Timeframes you will use when creating your Automated Trade Algorithmic Strategy. I suggest 4h, 12h, 1D, 2D, 3D, 4D, 5D, 6D, W and M.
When Indicator/Strategy returns 0 or natural trend, Strategy Closes All it's positions.
ORIGINALITY & USFULLNESS:
Personal combination of Gann swings and Laplace Stieltjes Transform of a price which results in less noise Volume Zone Oscillator.
The Laplace Stieltjes Transform is a mathematical technique that transforms discrete data from the time domain into its corresponding representation in the frequency domain. This process involves breaking down a signal into its individual frequency components, thereby exposing the amplitude and phase characteristics inherent in each frequency element.
This indicator utilizes the concept of Ehler's Universal Oscillator and displays a histogram, offering critical insights into the prevailing levels of market noise. The Ehler's Universal Oscillator is grounded in a statistical model that captures the erratic and unpredictable nature of market movements. Through the application of this principle, the histogram aids traders in pinpointing times when market volatility is either rising or subsiding.
The Gann swing strategy is developed by meomeo105, this Gann high and low algorithm forms the basis of the EMA modification.
DETAILED DESCRIPTION:
My detailed description of the indicator and use cases which I find very valuable.
What is oscillator?
Oscillators are chart indicators that can assist a trader in determining overbought or oversold conditions in ranging (non-trending) markets.
What is volume zone oscillator?
Price Zone Oscillator measures if the most recent closing price is above or below the preceding closing price.
Volume Zone Oscillator is Volume multiplied by the 1 or -1 depending on the difference of the preceding 2 close prices and smoothed with Exponential moving Average.
What does this mean?
If the VZO is above 0 and VZO is rising. We have a bullish trend. Most likely.
If the VZO is below 0 and VZO is falling. We have a bearish trend. Most likely.
Rising means that VZO on close is higher than the previous day.
Falling means that VZO on close is lower than the previous day.
What if VZO is falling above 0 line?
It means we have a high probability of a bearish trend.
Thus the indicator returns 0 and Strategy closes all it's positions when falling above 0 (or rising bellow 0) and we combine higher and lower timeframes to gauge the trend.
What is approximation and smoothing?
They are mathematical concepts for making a discrete set of numbers a
continuous curved line.
Laplace Stieltjes Transform approximation of a close price are taken from aprox library.
Key Features:
You can tailor the Indicator/Strategy to your preferences with adjustable parameters such as VZO length, noise reduction settings, and smoothing length.
Volume Zone Oscillator (VZO) shows market sentiment with the VZO, enhanced with Exponential Moving Average (EMA) smoothing for clearer trend identification.
Noise Reduction leverages Euler's White noise capabilities for effective noise reduction in the VZO, providing a cleaner and more accurate representation of market dynamics.
Choose between the traditional Fast Laplace Stieltjes Transform (FLT) and the innovative Double Discrete Fourier Transform (DTF32) soothed price series to suit your analytical needs.
Use dynamic calculation of Laplace coefficient or the static one. You may modify those inputs and Strategy entries with Gann swings.
I suggest using "Close all" input False when fine-tuning Inputs for 1 TimeFrame. When you export data to Excel/Numbers/GSheets I suggest using "Close all" input as True, except for the lowest TimeFrame. I suggest using 100% equity as your default quantity for fine-tune purposes. I have to mention that 100% equity may lead to unrealistic backtesting results. Be avare. When backtesting for trading purposes use Contracts or USDT.
Project Monday Strategy [AlgoAI System]Overview
Project Monday is a sophisticated trading strategy designed for active market participants. This strategy can be used alongside other forms of technical analysis, providing traders with additional tools to enhance their market insights. While it offers a flexible approach for identifying and exploiting market inefficiencies, Project Monday does not fit every market condition and requires adjustments. Its core principles include technical analysis and risk management, all aimed at making informed trading decisions and managing risk effectively.
Features
Project Monday Strategy works in any market and includes many features:
Efficient Trading Presets: Offers ready-to-use presets that allow traders to start efficient trading with one click.
Confirmation Signals: Provides signals to help traders validate trends, emphasizing informed decision-making (not to be followed blindly).
Reversal Signals: Identifies signals to alert traders to potential reversals, encouraging careful analysis (not to be followed blindly).
Adaptability: Can be adjusted to fit different market conditions, ensuring ongoing effectiveness.
Multi-Market Application: Suitable for use across various asset classes including stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.
Integration: Can be used alongside other technical analysis tools for enhanced decision-making.
Position Sizing: Allows traders to determine optimal trade size using backtesting and trading performance dashboard.
Backtesting: Supports historical testing to refine and validate the strategy.
Continuous Monitoring: Includes features for ongoing performance evaluation and strategy adjustments.
Unique Project Monday Strategy Features on TradingView:
Adaptive Position Sizing: Dynamically adjusts the size of each position based on market conditions and predefined risk management criteria, ensuring optimal trade sizing and risk exposure.
Preliminary Position Opening: Allows traders to enter a position in anticipation of a signal confirmation, enabling them to capture early market movements and improve entry points.
Preliminary Position Closing: Enables traders to exit a position before a signal reversal, helping to lock in profits and minimize potential losses during volatile market conditions.
Adjusting Strategy Parameters:
Price Band Inputs:
Project Monday Strategy uses a set of configurable inputs to tailor its behavior according to the trader's preferences. The following are the key inputs for the price band calculations. Signals are not generated when the price remains within these bands.
“Length of Calculation” determines how many historical data points are used in the trend calculation. A shorter “Length of Calculation” will make the Price Band more responsive to recent price changes but may also increase the noise and the likelihood of false signals. A longer “Length of Calculation” will make the Price Band smoother, with less noise, but may cause more lag in reacting to price changes.
“Offset” determines the position of the Gaussian filter, which is used to weight the data points in the trend calculation. The offset is expressed as a fraction of the “Length of Calculation”, with a value between 0 and 1. A higher “Offset” will shift the Gaussian filter closer to the more recent data points, making the Price Band more responsive to recent price changes but potentially increasing noise. A lower “Offset” will shift the Gaussian filter closer to the centre of the window, resulting in a smoother Price Band but potentially introducing more lag.
“Sigma” refers to the standard deviation used in the Gaussian distribution function. This parameter determines the smoothness of the curve and the degree to which data points close to the centre of the “Length of Calculation” are weighted more heavily than those further away. A smaller “Sigma” will result in a narrower Gaussian filter, leading to a more responsive Price Band but with a higher chance of noise and false signals. A larger “Sigma” will result in a wider Gaussian filter, creating a smoother Price Band but with more lag.
Adjust the “Source” inputs to specify which type of price data should be used for strategy calculations and signal generation.
“Width of Band” input determines the multiplier for the band width. A higher value of “Width of Band” makes the price band wider, which generates fewer signals due to the lower probability of the price moving outside the band. Conversely, a lower multiplier makes the band narrower, generating more signals but also increasing the likelihood of false signals.
Direction input:
The Project Monday strategy includes an input to specify the direction of trades, allowing traders to control whether the strategy should consider long positions, short positions, or both. The following input parameter is used for this purpose:
This input parameter allows traders to define the type of positions the strategy will take. It has three options:
Only Long: The strategy will generate signals exclusively for buying or closing short positions, focusing on potential uptrends.
Only Short: The strategy will generate signals exclusively for selling or closing long positions, focusing on potential downtrends.
Both: The strategy will generate signals for both buying (long positions) and selling (short positions), allowing for a more comprehensive trading approach that captures opportunities in both rising and falling markets.
Signals Filter:
The Project Monday strategy includes inputs to filter signals based on higher timeframes and the length of the data used for filtering. These inputs help traders refine the strategy's performance by considering broader market trends and smoothing out short-term fluctuations.
Filter Timeframe input specifies the timeframe used for filtering signals. By choosing a higher timeframe, traders can filter out noise from shorter timeframes and focus on more significant trends. The options range from intraday minutes (e.g., 1, 5, 15 minutes) to daily (1D, 2D, etc.), weekly (1W, 2W, etc.), and monthly (1M) timeframes. This allows traders to align their strategy with their preferred trading horizon and market perspective.
Filter Length input defines the number of data points used for filtering signals on the selected timeframe. A longer filter length will smooth out the data more, helping to identify sustained trends and reduce the impact of short-term fluctuations. Conversely, a shorter filter length will make the filter more responsive to recent price changes, potentially generating more signals but also increasing sensitivity to market noise.
Adaptive Position Size:
The Project Monday strategy incorporates inputs for unique feature Adaptive Position Sizing (APS), which dynamically adjusts the size of trades based on market conditions and specified parameters. This feature helps optimize risk management and trading performance.
Enable Adaptive Position Size: Users can check or uncheck this box to enable or disable the Adaptive Position Size feature. When checked, the strategy dynamically adjusts position sizes based on the defined parameters. This allows traders to scale their positions according to market volatility and other factors, enhancing risk management and potentially improving returns. When unchecked, the strategy will not adjust position sizes adaptively, and positions will remain fixed as per other settings.
“Timeframe for Adaptive Position Size “input specifies the timeframe used for calculating the position size. Options range from intraday minutes (e.g., 30, 60 minutes) to daily (1D, 3D), weekly (1W), and monthly (1M) timeframes. Selecting an appropriate timeframe helps align position sizing calculations with the trader’s overall strategy and market perspective, ensuring that position sizes are adjusted based on relevant market data.
“APS Length” input defines the number of data points used to calculate the adaptive position size. A longer APS length will result in higher position sizes. Conversely, a shorter APS length will result in smaller position sizes.
Anticipatory Trading:
Project Monday Strategy includes inputs for unique feature Anticipatory Trading, allowing traders to open and close positions preliminarily based on certain conditions. This feature aims to provide an edge by taking action before traditional signals confirm.
Enable Preliminary Position Opening: Users can check or uncheck this box to enable or disable Preliminary Position Opening. When enabled, the strategy will open positions based on preliminary conditions before the standard signals are confirmed. This can help traders capitalize on early trend movements and potentially gain a better entry point.
Enable Preliminary Position Closing: Users can check or uncheck this box to enable or disable Preliminary Position Closing. When enabled, the strategy will close positions based on preliminary conditions before the standard exit signals are confirmed. This can help traders lock in profits or limit losses by exiting positions at the early signs of trend reversals.
“Position Size in %” input specifies the position size as a percentage of the trading capital. By setting this value, traders can control the amount of capital allocated to each trade. For example, a risk value of 40% means that 40% of the available trading capital will be used for each anticipatory trade. This helps in managing risk and ensuring that the position size aligns with the trader's risk tolerance and overall strategy.
Usage:
Signal Generation
Long signal indicates a potential uptrend, suggesting either buying or closing a short position. Short signal indicates a potential downtrend, suggesting either selling or closing a long position. Signals are generated on your chart when the price moves beyond a calculated price band based on the current trend.
Signal Filtering
The strategy includes a filtering mechanism based on the current or another timeframe. Filtering works best with higher timeframes. This component calculates the trend on a higher timeframe and predicts the trend, ensuring trades on the current timeframe are only opened if they align with the higher timeframe trend. Setting the right filter timeframe is crucial for obtaining the best signals.
Position Direction
Users can choose the direction of positions to open via the settings box. Options include only long positions, only short positions, or both.
Adaptive Position Size (APS)
Users can enable the Adaptive Position Size feature to adjust position sizes based on trend strength. The strategy evaluates the strength of the current trend based on a higher timeframe. The stronger the trend, the larger the position size for opening a position.
Anticipatory Trading
Users can activate this unique feature to enhance trading decisions. The strategy assesses the likelihood of receiving a main signal. If the opportunity appears strong, it opens a partial position, as specified in the settings box. As the probability of the signal strengthens, the strategy gradually increases the position size.
Exit Strategy
The strategy exits positions based on receiving a reverse signal. Positions opened through “Anticipatory trading” are exited incrementally as each preliminary signal reverses.
By following these steps, traders can implement the strategy to navigate various market scenarios, manage risk, and adjust trading performance over time. Adjusting parameters and monitoring signals diligently are key to adapting the strategy to individual trading styles and market conditions.
You will get
By purchasing the Project Monday strategy, you not only gain access to a cutting-edge system but also receive ready-to-use presets designed to help you start trading immediately and achieve optimal results. Additionally, you benefit from comprehensive support and the option to request custom presets for your desired financial instruments through our dedicated support team, ensuring you have the tools and assistance needed for successful trading.
Risk Disclaimer
This information is not a personalized investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not be appropriate for your financial situation, investment objective(s), risk tolerance, and/or expected return. AlgoAI shall not be liable for any losses incurred in the event of transactions or investments in financial instruments mentioned in this information.
Moving Average Crossover Swing StrategyMoving Average Crossover Swing Strategy
**Overview:**
The basic concept of this strategy is to generate a signal when a faster/shorter length moving average crosses over (for Longs) or crosses under (for Shorts) a medium/longer length moving average. All of which are customizable. This strategy can work on any timeframe, however the daily is the timeframe used for the default settings and screenshots, as it was designed to be a multi-day swing strategy. Once a signal has been confirmed with a candle close, based on user options, the strategy will enter the trade on the open of the next candle.
The crossover strategy is nothing new to trading, but what can make this strategy unique and helpful, is the addition of further confirmation points, ATR based stop loss and take profit targets, optional early exit criteria, customizable to your needs and style, and just about everything visual can be toggled on/off. This strategy is based on a Trend (MA) indicator and a Momentum (MACD) indicator. While a Volume-based indicator is not shown here, one could consider using their favorite from that category to further compliment the signal idea.
It should be noted that depending on the time frame, direction(s) chosen, the signal options, confirmation options, and exit options selected, that a ticker may not produce more than 100 trades on the back test. Depending on your style and frequency, one could consider adjusting options and/or testing multiple tickers. It should also be noted that this strategy simply tests the underlying stock prices, not options contracts. And of course, testing this strategy against historical data does not assume that the same results will occur in future price action.
Shoutout given to Ripster's Clouds Indicator as pieces of that code were taken and modified to create both the Cloud visualization effects, and the Moving Average Pair Plots that are implemented in this strategy.
BASIC DEFAULTS
All can be changed as normal
Initial capital = 10,000
Order Sizing = 25% of equity (use the "Inputs" tab to modify this)
Pyramiding = 0
Commission = 0.65 USD per order
Price Verification = 1 tick
Slippage = 1 tick
RISK MANAGMENT
You will notice two different percentage options and ATR multipliers. This strategy will adjust position sizing by not exceeding either one of those % values based on the ATR (Average True Range) of the symbol and the multipliers selected, should the stock hit the stop loss price.
For Example, lets assume these values are true:
Account size = $10,000,
Max Risk = 1% of account size
Max Position Size = 25% of the account size
Stock Price = 23.45
ATR = 3.5
ATR Stop Loss Multiplier = 1.4
Then the formulas would be:
ACCT_SIZE * MaxRisk_% = 10000 * .01 = $100 (MaxCashRisk)
-----
MaxCashRisk / (ATR * ATR_SL_MULTIPLIER) = 100 / (3.5 * 1.4) = 20.4 Shares based on Max Cash Risk
-----
(ACCT_SIZE * MaxEquity_%) / STOCK_PRICE = (10000 * .25) / 23.45 = 106.61 Shares based on Max Equity Allocation
The minimum value of each of those options is then used, which in this case would be to purchase 20 shares so as not to exceed the max dollar risk should the stock reach the stop loss target. Likewise, if the ATR were to be much lower, say 0.48 cents, and all else the same, then the strategy would purchase the 106 shares based on Max Equity Allocation because the Max Cash Risk would require 149.25 shares.
MOVING AVERAGE OPTIONS
Select between and change the length & type of up to 5 pairs (10 total) of moving averages
The "Show Cloud-x" option will display a fill color between the "a" and "b" pairs
All moving averages lines can be toggled on/off in the "Style" tab, as well as adjusting their colors.
Visualization features do not affect calculations, meaning you could have all or nothing on the chart and the strategy will still produce results
SIGNAL CHOICES
Choose the fast/shorter length MA and the medium/longer length MA to determine the entry signal
CONFIRMATION OPTIONS
Both of these have customizable values and can be toggled on/off
A candle close over a slower/much longer length moving average
An additional cross-over (cross-under for Shorts) on the MACD indicator using default MACD values. While the MACD indicator is not necessary to have on the chart, it can help to add that for visualization. The calculations will perform whether the indicator is on the chart or not.
EARLY EXIT CRITERIA
Both can be toggled on/off with customizable values
MA Cross Exit will exit the trade early if the select moving averages cross-under (for longs) or cross-over (for shorts), indicating a potential reversal.
Max Bars in Trades will act as a last-resort exit by simply calculating the amount of full bars the trade has been open, and exiting on the opening of the next bar. For example: the default value is 8 bars, so after 8 full bars in the trade, if no other exit has been triggered (Stop Loss, Take Profit, or MA Cross(if enabled)), then the trade will exit at the opening of the 9th bar.
Finally, there is a table displaying the amount of trades taken for each side, and the amount & percent of both early exits. This table can be turned off in the "Style" tab
ADDITIONAL PLOTS
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence):
- The MACD is an optional confirmation indicator for this strategy.
- Plotting the indicator is not necessary for the strategy to work, but it can be helpful to visually see the status and position of the MACD if this feature is enabled in the strategy
- This helps to identify if there is also momentum behind the entry signal
IsAlgo - Manual TrendLine► Overview:
Manual TrendLine is a strategy that allows traders to manually insert a trendline and opens trades when the trendline is retested or when the price hits a new highest high or lowest low. It provides flexibility in trendline configuration and trading behavior, enabling responsive and adaptable trading strategies.
► Description:
The Manual TrendLine strategy revolves around using manually defined trendlines as the primary tool for making trading decisions. Traders start by specifying two key points on the chart to establish the trendline. Each point is defined by a specific time and price, enabling precise placement according to the trader’s analysis and insights. Additionally, the strategy allows for the adjustment of the trendline’s width, which acts as a buffer zone around the trendline, providing flexibility in how closely price movements must align with the trendline to trigger trades.
Once the trendline is established, the strategy continuously monitors price movements relative to this line. One of its core functions is to execute trades when the price retests the trendline. A retest occurs when the price approaches the trendline after initially diverging from it, indicating potential continuation of the prevailing trend. This behavior is often seen as a confirmation of the trend’s strength, and the strategy takes advantage of these moments to enter trades in the direction of the trend.
Beyond retests, the strategy also tracks the formation of new highest highs and lowest lows in relation to the trendline. When the price reaches a new highest high or lowest low, it signifies strong momentum in the trend’s direction. The strategy can be configured to open trades at these critical points.
Another key feature of the strategy is its response to trendline breaks. A break occurs when the price moves through the trendline, potentially signaling a reversal or a significant shift in market sentiment. The strategy can be set to open reverse trades upon such breaks, enabling traders to quickly adapt to changing market conditions. Additionally, traders have the option to stop opening new trades after a trendline break, helping to avoid trades during periods of uncertainty or increased volatility.
↑ Up Trend Example:
↓ Down Trend Example:
► Features and Settings:
⚙︎ TrendLine: Define the time and price of the two main points of the trendline, and set the trendline width.
⚙︎ Entry Candle: Specify the minimum and maximum body size and the body-to-candle size ratio for entry candles.
⚙︎ Trading Session: Define specific trading hours during which the strategy operates, restricting trades to preferred market periods.
⚙︎ Trading Days: Specify active trading days to avoid certain days of the week.
⚙︎ Backtesting: backtesting for a selected period to evaluate strategy performance. This feature can be deactivated if not needed.
⚙︎ Trades: Configure trade direction (long, short, or both), position sizing (fixed or percentage-based), maximum number of open trades, and daily trade limits.
⚙︎ Trades Exit: Set profit/loss limits, specify trade duration, or exit based on band reversal signals.
⚙︎ Stop Loss: Choose from various stop-loss methods, including fixed pips, ATR-based, or highest/lowest price points within a specified number of candles. Trades can also be closed after a certain number of adverse candle movements.
⚙︎ Break Even: Adjust stop loss to break even once predefined profit levels are reached, protecting gains.
⚙︎ Trailing Stop: Implement a trailing stop to adjust the stop loss as the trade becomes profitable, securing gains and potentially capturing further upside.
⚙︎ Take Profit: Set up to three take-profit levels using methods such as fixed pips, ATR, or risk-to-reward ratios. Alternatively, specify a set number of candles moving in the trade’s direction.
⚙︎ Alerts: Comprehensive alert system to notify users of significant actions, including trade openings and closings. Supports dynamic placeholders for take-profit levels and stop-loss prices.
⚙︎ Dashboard: Visual display on the chart providing detailed information about ongoing and past trades, aiding users in monitoring strategy performance and making informed decisions.
► Backtesting Details:
Timeframe: 30-minute EURUSD chart
Initial Balance: $10,000
Order Size: 500 units
Commission: 0.05%
Slippage: 5 ticks
This strategy opens trades around a manually drawn trendline, which results in a smaller number of closed trades.
Smart Money Concept Strategy - Uncle SamThis strategy combines concepts from two popular TradingView scripts:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) : The strategy identifies key levels in the market (swing highs and lows) and draws trend lines to visualize potential breakouts. It uses volume analysis to gauge the strength of these breakouts.
Smart Money Breakouts : This part of the strategy incorporates the idea of "Smart Money" – institutional traders who often lead market movements. It looks for breakouts of established levels with significant volume, aiming to catch the beginning of new trends.
How the Strategy Works:
Identification of Key Levels: The script identifies swing highs and swing lows based on a user-defined lookback period. These levels are considered significant points where price has reversed in the past.
Drawing Trend Lines: Trend lines are drawn connecting these key levels, creating a visual representation of potential support and resistance zones.
Volume Analysis: The script analyzes the volume during the formation of these levels and during breakouts. Higher volume suggests stronger moves and increases the probability of a successful breakout.
Entry Conditions:
Long Entry: A long entry is triggered when the price breaks above a resistance line with significant volume, and the moving average trend filter (optional) is bullish.
Short Entry: A short entry is triggered when the price breaks below a support line with significant volume, and the moving average trend filter (optional) is bearish.
Exit Conditions:
Stop Loss: Customizable stop loss percentages are implemented to protect against adverse price movements.
Take Profit: Customizable take profit percentages are used to lock in profits.
Credits and Compliance:
This strategy is inspired by the concepts and code from "Smart Money Concepts (SMC) " and "Smart Money Breakouts ." I've adapted and combined elements of both scripts to create this strategy. Full credit is given to the original authors for their valuable contributions to the TradingView community.
To comply with TradingView's House Rules, I've made the following adjustments:
Clearly Stated Inspiration: The description explicitly mentions the original scripts and authors as the inspiration for this strategy.
No Direct Copying: The code has been modified and combined, not directly copied from the original scripts.
Educational Purpose: The primary purpose of this strategy is for learning and backtesting. It's not intended as financial advice.
Important Note:
This strategy is intended for educational and backtesting purposes only. It should not be used for live trading without thorough testing and understanding of the underlying concepts. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Following with 200 EMA Filter - Longs OnlyOverview
This strategy is designed to trade long positions based on multiple timeframe Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and a 200 EMA filter. The strategy ensures that trades are only entered in strong uptrends and aims to capitalize on sustained upward movements while minimizing risk with a defined stop-loss and take-profit mechanism.
Key Components
Initial Capital and Position Sizing
Initial Capital: $1000.
Lot Size: 1 unit per trade.
Inputs
Fast EMA Length (fast_length): The period for the fast EMA.
Slow EMA Length (slow_length): The period for the slow EMA.
200 EMA Length (filter_length_200): Set to 200 periods for the primary trend filter.
Stop Loss Percentage (stop_loss_perc): Set to 1% of the entry price.
Take Profit Percentage (take_profit_perc): Set to 3% of the entry price.
Timeframes and EMAs
EMAs are calculated for the following timeframes using the request.security function:
5-minute: Short-term trend detection.
15-minute: Intermediate-term trend detection.
30-minute: Long-term trend detection.
The strategy also calculates a 200-period EMA on the 5-minute timeframe to serve as a primary trend filter.
Trend Calculation
The strategy determines the trend for each timeframe by comparing the fast and slow EMAs:
If the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, the trend is considered positive (1).
If the fast EMA is below the slow EMA, the trend is considered negative (-1).
Combined Trend Signal
The combined trend signal is derived by summing the individual trends from the 5-minute, 15-minute, and 30-minute timeframes.
A combined trend value of 3 indicates a strong uptrend across all timeframes.
Any combined trend value less than 3 indicates a weakening or negative trend.
Entry and Exit Conditions
Entry Condition:
A long position is entered if:
The combined trend signal is 3 (indicating a strong uptrend across all timeframes).
The current close price is above the 200 EMA on the 5-minute timeframe.
Exit Condition:
The long position is exited if:
The combined trend signal is less than 3 (indicating a weakening trend).
The current close price falls below the 200 EMA on the 5-minute timeframe.
Stop Loss and Take Profit
Stop Loss: Set at 1% below the entry price.
Take Profit: Set at 3% above the entry price.
These levels are automatically set when entering a trade using the strategy.entry function with stop and limit parameters.
Plotting
The strategy plots the fast and slow EMAs for the 5-minute timeframe and the 200 EMA for visual reference on the chart:
Fast EMA (5-min): Plotted in blue.
Slow EMA (5-min): Plotted in red.
200 EMA (5-min): Plotted in green.
Dual RSI Differential - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The Dual RSI Differential Strategy introduces a nuanced approach to market analysis and trading decisions by utilizing two Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators calculated over different time periods. Unlike traditional strategies that employ a single RSI and may signal premature or delayed entries, this method leverages the differential between a shorter and a longer RSI. This approach pinpoints more precise entry and exit points, providing a refined tool for traders to exploit market conditions effectively, particularly in overbought and oversold scenarios.
Most important: it is a good eductional code for swing trading.
For beginners, this Pine Script provides a complete function that includes crucial elements such as holding days and the option to configure take profit/stop loss settings:
- Hold Days: This feature ensures that trades are not exited too hastily, helping traders to ride out short-term market volatility. It's particularly valuable for swing trading where maintaining positions slightly longer can lead to capturing significant trends.
- TPSL Condition (None by default): This setting allows traders to focus solely on the strategy's robust entry and exit signals without being constrained by preset profit or loss limits. This flexibility is crucial for learning to adjust strategy settings based on personal risk tolerance and market observations.
BTCUSD 6h LS Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 RSI Calculation:
The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It is calculated using the formula:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
Where RS (Relative Strength) = Average Gain of up periods / Average Loss of down periods.
🔶 Dual RSI Setup:
This strategy involves two RSI indicators:
RSI_Short (RSI_21): Calculated over a short period (21 days).
RSI_Long (RSI_42): Calculated over a longer period (42 days).
Differential Calculation:
The strategy focuses on the differential between these two RSIs:
RSI Differential = RSI_Long - RSI_Short
This differential helps to identify when the shorter-term sentiment diverges from longer-term trends, signaling potential trading opportunities.
BTCUSD Local picuture
🔶 Signal Triggers:
Entry Signal: A buy (long) signal is triggered when the RSI Differential exceeds -5, suggesting strengthening short-term momentum. Conversely, a sell (short) signal occurs when the RSI Differential falls below +5, indicating weakening short-term momentum.
Exit Signal: Trades are generally exited when the RSI Differential reverses past these thresholds, indicating a potential momentum shift.
█ Trade Direction
This strategy accommodates various trading preferences by allowing selections among long, short, or both directions, thus enabling traders to capitalize on diverse market movements and volatility.
█ Usage
The Dual RSI Differential Strategy is particularly suited for:
Traders who prefer a systematic approach to capture market trends.
Those who seek to minimize risks associated with rapid and unexpected market movements.
Traders who value strategies that can be finely tuned to different market conditions.
█ Default Settings
- Trading Direction: Both — allows capturing of upward and downward market movements.
- Short RSI Period: 21 days — balances sensitivity to market movements.
- Long RSI Period: 42 days — smoothens out longer-term fluctuations to provide a clearer market trend.
- RSI Difference Level: 5 — minimizes false signals by setting a moderate threshold for action.
Use Hold Days: True — introduces a temporal element to trading strategy, holding positions to potentially enhance outcomes.
- Hold Days: 5 — ensures that trades are not exited too hastily, helping to ride out short-term volatility.
- TPSL Condition: None — enables traders to focus solely on the strategy's entry and exit signals without preset profit or loss limits.
- Take Profit Percentage: 15% — aims for significant market moves to lock in profits.
- Stop Loss Percentage: 10% — safeguards against large losses, essential for long-term capital preservation.
Price-Volume Dynamic - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Price-Volume Dynamic - Strategy" leverages a unique blend of price action, volume analysis, and statistical z-scores to establish trading positions. This approach differentiates itself by integrating the concept of the Point of Control (POC) from volume profile analysis with price-based z-score indicators to create a dynamic trading strategy. It tailors entry and exit thresholds based on current market volatility, providing a responsive and adaptive trading method. This strategy stands out by considering both historical volatility and price trends to adjust trading decisions in real-time, enhancing its effectiveness in various market conditions.
BTCUSD 4h LS Performance
█ Strategy: How It Works – Detailed Explanation
🔶 Calculating Point of Control (POC)
The Point of Control (POC) represents the price level with the highest traded volume over a specified lookback period. It's calculated by dividing the price range into a number of rows, each representing a price level. The volume at each price level is tallied and the level with the maximum volume is designated as the POC.
🔶 Dynamic Thresholds Adjustments
The entry and exit thresholds are dynamically adjusted based on normalized volatility, which is derived from the current, minimum, and maximum ATR over a specified period. This normalization ensures that the thresholds adapt to changes in market conditions, making the strategy sensitive to shifts in market volatility.
BTCUSD local performance
█ Trade Direction
The strategy can be configured to trade in three different directions: Long, Short, or Both. This flexibility allows traders to align their trading strategy with their market outlook or risk preferences. By adjusting the `POC_tradeDirection` input, traders can selectively participate in market movements that match their trading style and objectives.
█ Usage
To deploy this strategy, traders should apply it within a trading software that supports scripting and backtesting, such as TradingView's Pine Script environment. Users can input their parameters based on their analysis of the market conditions and their risk tolerance. It is essential for traders to backtest the strategy using historical data to evaluate its performance and make necessary adjustments before applying it in live trading scenarios.
█ Default Settings
- Lookback Length: Sets the period over which the highest and lowest prices, and the volume per price level, are calculated. A higher lookback length smoothens the volatility but may delay response to recent market movements.
- Number of Rows: Determines the granularity of price levels within the price range. More rows provide a more detailed volume profile but require more computational resources.
- Entry Z-Score Threshold Base: Influences the sensitivity of the strategy to enter trades. Higher values make the strategy more conservative, requiring stronger deviation from the mean to trigger a trade.
- Exit Z-Score Threshold Base: Sets the threshold for exiting trades, with lower values allowing trades to close on smaller price retractions, thereby potentially preserving profits or reducing losses.
- Trading Direction: Allows selection between Long, Short, or Both, enabling traders to tailor the strategy to their market view or risk preferences.
Trailing Take Profit - Close Based📝 Description
This script demonstrates a new approach to the trailing take profit.
Trailing Take Profit is a price-following technique. When used, instead of setting a limit order for the take profit target exiting from your position at the specified price, a stop order is conditionally set when the take profit target is reached. Then, the stop price (a.k.a trailing price), is placed below the take profit target at a distance defined by the user percentagewise. On regular time intervals, the stop price gets updated by following the "Trail Barrier" price (high by default) upwards. When the current price hits the stop price you exit the trade. Check the chart for more details.
This script demonstrates how to implement the close-based Trailing Take Profit logic for long positions, but it can also be applied for short positions if the logic is "reversed".
📢 NOTE
To generate some entries and showcase the "Trailing Take Profit" technique, this script uses the crossing of two moving averages. Please keep in mind that you should not relate the Backtesting results you see in the "Strategy Tester" tab with the success of the technique itself.
This is not a complete strategy per se, and the backtest results are affected by many parameters that are outside of the scope of this publication. If you choose to use this new approach of the "Trailing Take Profit" in your logic you have to make sure that you are backtesting the whole strategy.
⚔️ Comparison
In contrast to my older "Trailing Take Profit" publication where the trailing take profit implementation was tick-based, this new approach is close-based, meaning that the update of the stop price occurs at the bar close instead of every tick.
While comparing the real-time results of the two implementations is like comparing apples to oranges, because they have different dynamic behavior, the new approach offers better consistency between the backtesting results and the real-time results.
By updating the stop price on every bar close, you do not rely on the backtester assumptions anymore (check the Reasoning section below for more info).
The new approach resembles the conditional "Trailing Exit" technique, where the condition is true when the current price crosses over the take profit target. Then, the stop order is placed at the trailing price and it gets updated on every bar close to "follow" the barrier price (high). On the other hand, the older tick-based approach had more "tight" dynamics since the trailing price gets updated on every tick leaving less room for price fluctuations by making it more probable to reach the trailing price.
🤔 Reasoning
This new close-based approach addresses several practical issues the older tick-based approach had. Those issues arise mainly from the technicalities of the TV Backtester. More specifically, due to the assumptions the Broker Emulator makes for the price action of the history bars, the backtesting results in the TV Backtester are exaggerated, and depending on the timeframe, the backtesting results look way better than they are in reality.
The effect above, and the inability to reason about the performance of a strategy separated people into two groups. Those who never use this feature, because they couldn't know for sure the actual effect it might have in their strategy, (even if it turned out to be more profitable) and those who abused this type of "repainting" behavior to show off, and hijack some boosts from the community by boasting about the "fake" results of their strategies.
Even if there are ways to evaluate the effectiveness of the tick-based approach that is applied in an existing strategy (this is out of the topic of this publication), it requires extra effort to do the analysis. Using this closed-based approach we can have more predictable results, without surprises.
⚠️ Caveats
Since this approach updates the trailing price on bar close, you must wait for at least one bar to close after the price crosses over the take profit target.
ORB Heikin Ashi SPY 5min Correlation StrategyOverview:
The ORB (Opening Range Breakout) strategy combined with Heikin Ashi candles and Relative Volume (RVOL) indicator aims to capitalize on significant price movements that occur shortly after the market opens. This strategy identifies breakouts above or below the opening range, using Heikin Ashi candles for smoother price visualization and RVOL to gauge the strength of the breakout.
Components:
Opening Range Breakout (ORB): The strategy starts by defining the opening range, typically the first few minutes of the trading session. It then identifies breakouts above the high or below the low of this range as potential entry points.
Heikin Ashi Candles: Heikin Ashi candles are used to provide a smoother representation of price movements compared to traditional candlesticks. By averaging open, close, high, and low prices of the previous candle, Heikin Ashi candles reduce noise and highlight trends more effectively.
Relative Volume (RVOL): RVOL compares the current volume of a stock to its average volume over a specified period. It helps traders identify abnormal trading activity, which can signal potential price movements.
Candle for correlation : In this case we are using SPY candles. It can also use different asset
Strategy Execution:
Initialization: The strategy initializes by setting up variables and parameters, including the ORB period, session timings, and Heikin Ashi candle settings.
ORB Calculation: It calculates the opening range by identifying the high and low prices during the specified session time. These values serve as the initial reference points for potential breakouts. For this we are looking for the first 30 min of the US opening session.
After that we are going to use the next 2 hours to check for breakout opportunities.
Heikin Ashi Transformation: Optionally, the strategy transforms traditional candlestick data into Heikin Ashi format for smoother visualization and trend identification.
Breakout Identification: It continuously monitors price movements within the session and checks if the current high breaches the ORB high or if the current low breaches the ORB low. These events trigger potential long or short entry signals, respectively.
RVOL Analysis: Simultaneously, the strategy evaluates the relative volume of the asset to gauge the strength of the breakout. A surge in volume accompanying the breakout confirms the validity of the signal. In this case we are looking for at least a 1 value of the division between currentVolume and pastVolume
Entry and Exit Conditions: When a breakout occurs and is confirmed by RVOL and is within our session time, the strategy enters a long or short position accordingly. It does not have a stop loss or a takie profit level, instead it will always exit at the end of the trading session, 5 minutes before
Position Sizing and Commissions: For the purpose of this backtest, the strategy allocated 10% of the capital for each trade and assumes a trading commission of 0.01$ per share ( twice the IBKR broker values)
Session End: At the end of the trading session, the strategy closes all open positions to avoid overnight exposure.
Conclusion:
The combination of ORB breakout strategy, Heikin Ashi candles, and RVOL provides traders with a robust framework for identifying and capitalizing on early trends in the market. By leveraging these technical indicators together, traders can make more informed decisions and improve the overall performance of their trading strategies. However, like any trading strategy, it's essential to backtest thoroughly and adapt the strategy to different market conditions to ensure its effectiveness over time.
GM-8 and ADX Strategy with Second EMADescription:
This TradingView script implements a trading strategy based on the Moving Average (GM-8), the Average Directional Index (ADX), and the second Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The strategy utilizes these indicators to identify potential buy and sell signals on the chart.
Indicators:
GM-8 (Moving Average 8): This indicator calculates the average price of the last 8 periods and is used to identify trends.
ADX (Average Directional Index): The ADX measures the strength of a trend and is used to determine whether the market is moving in a particular direction or not.
Second EMA (Exponential Moving Average): This is an additional EMA line with a period of 59, which is used to provide additional confirmation signals for the trend.
Trading Conditions:
Buy Condition: A buy signal is generated when the closing price is above the GM-8 and the second EMA, and the ADX value is above the specified threshold.
Sell Condition: A sell signal is generated when the closing price is below the GM-8 and the second EMA, and the ADX value is above the specified threshold.
Trading Logic:
If a buy condition is met, a long position is opened with a user-defined lot size.
If a sell condition is met, a short position is opened with the same user-defined lot size.
Positions are closed when the opposite conditions are met.
User Parameters:
Users can adjust the periods for the GM-8, the second EMA, and the ADX, as well as the threshold for the ADX and the lot size according to their preferences.
Note:
This script has been developed for use on a $100,000 account with FTMO, therefore the account size is set to $100,000. Please ensure that the strategy parameters and settings meet the requirements of your trading strategy and carefully review the results before committing real capital.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beschreibung:
Dieses TradingView-Skript implementiert eine Handelsstrategie, die auf dem gleitenden Mittelwert (GM-8), dem Average Directional Index (ADX) und der zweiten exponentiellen gleitenden Durchschnittslinie (EMA) basiert. Die Strategie verwendet diese Indikatoren, um potenzielle Kauf- und Verkaufssignale auf dem Chart zu identifizieren.
Indikatoren:
GM-8 (Gleitender Mittelwert 8): Dieser Indikator berechnet den Durchschnittspreis der letzten 8 Perioden und wird verwendet, um Trends zu identifizieren.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Der ADX misst die Stärke eines Trends und wird verwendet, um festzustellen, ob sich der Markt in eine bestimmte Richtung bewegt oder nicht.
Zweite EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Dies ist eine zusätzliche EMA-Linie mit einer Periode von 59, die verwendet wird, um zusätzliche Bestätigungssignale für den Trend zu liefern.
Handelsbedingungen:
Kaufbedingung: Es wird ein Kaufsignal generiert, wenn der Schlusskurs über dem GM-8 und der zweiten EMA liegt und der ADX-Wert über dem angegebenen Schwellenwert liegt.
Verkaufsbedingung: Es wird ein Verkaufssignal generiert, wenn der Schlusskurs unter dem GM-8 und der zweiten EMA liegt und der ADX-Wert über dem angegebenen Schwellenwert liegt.
Handelslogik:
Wenn eine Kaufbedingung erfüllt ist, wird eine Long-Position mit einer benutzerdefinierten Losgröße eröffnet.
Wenn eine Verkaufsbedingung erfüllt ist, wird eine Short-Position mit derselben benutzerdefinierten Losgröße eröffnet.
Positionen werden geschlossen, wenn die Gegenbedingungen erfüllt sind.
Benutzerparameter:
Benutzer können die Perioden für den GM-8, die zweite EMA und den ADX sowie den Schwellenwert für den ADX und die Losgröße nach ihren eigenen Präferenzen anpassen.
Hinweis:
Dieses Skript wurde für die Verwendung auf einem $100.000-Konto bei FTMO entwickelt, daher ist die Kontogröße auf $100.000 festgelegt. Bitte stellen Sie sicher, dass die Strategieparameter und -einstellungen den Anforderungen Ihrer Handelsstrategie entsprechen und dass Sie die Ergebnisse sorgfältig überprüfen, bevor Sie echtes Kapital einsetzen.
Advanced Trend Strategy [BITsPIP]The BITsPIP team is super excited to share our latest trading gem with you all. We're all about diving deep and ensuring our strategies can stand the test of time. So, we invite you to join us in exploring the awesome potential of this new strategy and really put it through its pace with some deep backtesting. This isn't just another strategy; it boasts a profit factor hovering around 1.5 across over 1000 trades, which is quite an achievement. Consider integrating it with your trading bots to further enhance your trading efficiency and profit generation. Curious? Ask for trial access or drop by our website for more details.
I. Deep Backtesting
We're all in on transparency and solid results, which is why we didn't stop at 100... or even 500 trades. We went over 1000, making sure this strategy is as robust as they come. No flimsy forecasts or sneaky repainting here. Just good, solid strategy that's ready for the real deal. Curious about the details? Check out our detailed backtesting screenshot for the BINANCE:BTCUSDT in a 5-minute timeframe. It's all about giving you the clear picture.
#No Overfitting
#No Repainting
Backtesting Screenshot
II. Algorithmic Trading
Thinking of trading as a manual game? Think again! Manual trading is a bit like rolling the dice - fun, but kind of risky if you're aiming for consistent wins. Instead, why not lean into the future with algorithmic trading? It's all about trusting the market's rhythm over the long term. By integrating your strategy with a trading bot, you can enjoy peace of mind, rest easy, and keep those emotional trades at bay.
III) Applications
Dive into the Advanced Trend Strategy, your versatile tool for navigating the market's waters. This strategy shines in under an hour timeframes, offering adaptability across stocks, commodities, forex, and cryptocurrencies. Initially fine-tuned for low-volatility cryptos like BINANCE:BTCUSDT , its default settings are a solid starting point.
But here's where your expertise comes into play. Each market beats to its own drum, necessitating nuanced adjustments to stop loss and take profit settings. This customization is key to maximizing the strategy's effectiveness in your chosen arena.
IV) Strategy's Logic
The Advanced Trend Strategy is a powerhouse, blending the precision of Hull Suite, RSI, and our unique trend detector technique. At its core, it’s designed for savvy risk management, aiming to lock in substantial profits while steering clear of minor market ripples. It utilizes stop-loss and take-profit thresholds to form a profit channel, providing a safety net for each trade. This is a trend-following strategy at heart, where these profit channels play a critical role in maximizing returns by securing positions within these "warranty channels."
1. Trend-Following
The market's complexity, influenced by countless factors, makes small movements seem almost chaotic. Yet, the principle of #Trend-Following shines in less volatile markets in long term. The strategy excels by pinpointing the ideal moments to enter the market, coupled with refined risk management to secure profits. It’s tailored for you, the individual trader, enabling you to ride the waves of market trends upwards or downwards.
2. Risk Management
A key facet of the strategy is its emphasis on pragmatic risk management. Traders are empowered to establish practical stop-loss and take-profit levels, tailoring these crucial parameters to the specific market they are engaging in. This customization is instrumental in optimizing long-term profitability, ensuring that the strategy adapts fluidly to the unique characteristics and volatility patterns of different trading environments.
V) Strategy's Input Settings and Default Values
1. Alerts
The strategy comes equipped with a flexible alert system designed to keep you informed and ready to act. Within the settings, you’ll find options to configure order/exit and comment/alert messages to your preference. This feature is particularly useful for staying on top of the strategy’s activities without constant manual oversight.
2. Hull Suite
i. Hull Suite Length: Designed for capturing long-term trends, the Hull Suite Length is configured at 1000. Functioning comparably to moving averages, the Hull Suite features upper and lower bands. Currently, it is set to 1000.
ii. Length Multiplier: It's advisable to maintain a minimal value for the Length Multiplier, prioritizing the optimization of the Hull Suite Length. Presently, it is set to 1.
3. RSI Indicator
i. The RSI is a widely recognized tool in trading. Adapt the oversold and overbought thresholds to better match the specifics of your market for optimal results.
4. StopLoss and TakeProfit
i. StopLoss and TakeProfit Settings: Two distinct approaches are available. Semi-Automatic StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting and Manual StopLoss/TakeProfit Setting. The Semi-Automatic mode streamlines the process by allowing you to input values for a 5-minute timeframe, subsequently auto-adjusting these values across various timeframes, both lower and higher. Conversely, the Manual mode offers full control, enabling you to meticulously define TakeProfit values for each individual timeframe.
ii. TakeProfit Threshold # and TakeProfit Value #: Imagine this mechanism as an ascending staircase. Each step represents a range, with the lower boundary (TakeProfit Value) designed to close the trade upon being reached, and the upper boundary (TakeProfit Threshold) upon being hit, propelling the trade to the next level, and forming a new range. This stair-stepping approach enhances risk management and increases profitability. The pre-set configurations are tailored for $BINANCE:BTCUSDT. It's advisable to devote time to tailoring these settings to your specific market, aiming to achieve optimal results based on backtesting.
iii. StopLoss Value: In line with its name, this value marks the limit of loss you're prepared to accept should the market trend go against your expectations. It's crucial to note that once your asset reaches the first TakeProfit range, the initial StopLoss value becomes obsolete, supplanted by the first TakeProfit Value. The default StopLoss value is pegged at 1.6(%), a figure worth considering in your trading strategy.
VI) Entry Conditions
The primary signal for entry is generated by our custom trend detection mechanism and hull suite values (ascending/descending). This is supported by additional indicators acting as confirmation.
VII) Exit Conditions
The strategy stipulates exit conditions primarily governed by stop loss and take profit parameters. On infrequent occasions, if the trend lacks confirmation post-entry, the strategy mandates an exit upon the issuance of a reverse signal (whether confirmed or unconfirmed) by the strategy itself.
BITsPIP
Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy [presentTrading]█ Introduction and How it is Different
The "Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy " trading strategy represents a novel integration of two powerful technical analysis tools: the Vegas Channel and the SuperTrend indicator. This fusion creates a dynamic, adaptable strategy designed for the volatile and fast-paced cryptocurrency markets, particularly focusing on Bitcoin trading.
Unlike traditional trading strategies that rely on a static set of rules, this approach modifies the SuperTrend's sensitivity to market volatility, offering traders the ability to customize their strategy based on current market conditions. This adaptability makes it uniquely suited to navigating the often unpredictable swings in cryptocurrency valuations, providing traders with signals that are both timely and reflective of underlying market dynamics.
BTC 6h LS
█ Strategy, How it Works: Detailed Explanation
This is an innovative approach that combines the volatility-based Vegas Channel with the trend-following SuperTrend indicator to create dynamic trading signals. This section delves deeper into the mechanics and mathematical foundations of the strategy.
Detail picture to show :
🔶 Vegas Channel Calculation
The Vegas Channel serves as the foundation of this strategy, employing a simple moving average (SMA) coupled with standard deviation to define the upper and lower bounds of the trading channel. This channel adapts to price movements, offering a visual representation of potential support and resistance levels based on historical price volatility.
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator Adjustment
Central to the strategy is the SuperTrend indicator, which is adjusted according to the width of the Vegas Channel. This adjustment is achieved by modifying the SuperTrend's multiplier based on the channel's volatility, allowing the indicator to become more sensitive during periods of high volatility and less so during quieter market phases.
🔶 Trend Determination and Signal Generation
The market trend is determined by comparing the current price with the SuperTrend values. A shift from below to above the SuperTrend line signals a potential bullish trend, prompting a "buy" signal, whereas a move from above to below indicates a bearish trend, generating a "sell" signal. This methodology ensures that trades are entered in alignment with the prevailing market direction, enhancing the potential for profitability.
BTC 6h Local
█ Trade Direction
A distinctive feature of this strategy is its configurable trade direction input, allowing traders to specify whether they wish to engage in long positions, short positions, or both. This flexibility enables users to tailor the strategy according to their risk tolerance, trading style, and market outlook, providing a personalized trading experience.
█ Usage
To utilize the "Vegas SuperTrend - Enhanced" strategy effectively, traders should first adjust the input settings to align with their trading preferences and the specific characteristics of the asset being traded. Monitoring the strategy's signals within the context of overall market conditions and combining its insights with other forms of analysis can further enhance its effectiveness.
█ Default Settings
- Trade Direction: Both (allows trading in both directions)
- ATR Period for SuperTrend: 10 (determines the length of the ATR for volatility measurement)
- Vegas Window Length: 100 (sets the length of the SMA for the Vegas Channel)
- SuperTrend Multiplier Base: 5 (base multiplier for SuperTrend calculation)
- Volatility Adjustment Factor: 5.0 (adjusts SuperTrend sensitivity based on Vegas Channel width)
These default settings provide a balanced approach suitable for various market conditions but can be adjusted to meet individual trading needs and objectives.
